Week 8 Computer Poll Projection

We’re down to the final two weeks of the regular season and Massillon’s playoff stock continues to rise.  Barring upsets, the Tigers have a great chance of finishing in second place in Region 7 by winning the final two games.  And they could push to first if Lakewood St. Edward can defeat both Cincinnati Moeller and Akron Hoban.  However, the Tigers will need to win both games to assure themselves of a Final-4 finish, which also awards home games in the first two rounds of the playoffs.

Should all games across the board go as predicted, then it could set up a playoff run for Massillon something like this: Worthington Kilbourne (4-6), Teays Valley (6-4), Big Walnut (9-1) and Columbus DeSales (8-2), with the latter two games at neutral sights, presumably Mansfield.

Below is a detailed look at each of the top seven teams, shown by projected order of finish.  Also included are their win/loss records to date, the current Calpreps.com ratings (note: the ratings shown in parentheses are negative numbers) and the projected computer rating.

Columbus Walnut Ridge (8-0) – 11.6 – 30.95 pts.

  • Columbus Briggs (5-3) – (3.4)
  • Columbus Independence (3-5) – (17.9)

Opponent W/L record: 8-8; favorite to win both games; currently No. 2; should finish No. 1.

Massillon (6-2) – 60.2 – 29.43 pts.

  • Warren Harding (6-2) – 25.8
  • Canton McKinley (6-2) – 35.7

Opponent W/L record: 12-4; favorite to win both games; currently No. 7; should finish No. 2, benefiting from the win/loss records of the remaining opponents.

Big Walnut (7-1) – 32.3 – 28.05 pts.

  • Dublin Scioto (1-7) – (6.4)
  • Columbus Westland (7-1) – 25.5

Opponent W/L record: 8-8; favorite in both games; currently No. 1; should finish No. 3; however, a loss to Westland would drop them to No. 5.

Ashland (8-0) – 28.7 – 25.96 pts.

  • Wooster (2-6) – (6.5)
  • Lexington (4-4) – 4.1

Opponent W/L record: 6-10; favorite to win both games; currently No. 5; should finish No. 4.

Columbus DeSales (7-1) – 28.8 – 23.13 pts.

  • Cincinnati Northwest (2-6) – (16.5)
  • Columbus Watterson (8-0) – 46.3

Opponent W/L record: 10-6; favorite this week, but underdog to Watterson; currently No. 3; should finish No. 5; a win over Watterson would move them to No. 3.

 Canal Winchester (6-2) – 22.8 – 21.05 pts.

  • Lancaster (3-5) – (0.2)
  • Groveport Madison (4-4) – 22.1

Opponent W/L record: 8-13; favorite to beat Lancaster, but the game against Groveport is a tossup; currently No. 5; should finish No. 6, regardless of the outcome in the Groveport game.

Teays Valley (5-3) – 15.7 – 17.60 pts.

  • Pickerington Central (6-2) – 32.9
  • Logan (1-7) – (12.1)

Opponent W/L record: 7-9; big underdog to Pickerington Central this week; favorite in the finale; should finish No. 7.

 

The remaining nine teams would finish as follows:

8. Columbus Northland

9. Westerville South

10. Columbus St. Charles

11. New Albany

12. Massillon Perry

13. Columbus Briggs

14. Licking Heights

15. Worthington Kilbourne

16. Woooster

 

dengelhardt